Reliability Estimation of Products Using Time Series Analysis and Grey Theory Based on Step-stress Adt

نویسندگان

  • LI WANG
  • ZAIWEN LIU
  • CHONGCHONG YU
چکیده

This paper proposes a SSADT data analysis method to estimate product reliability based on time series analysis and grey theory. A RTVAR degradation time series model is proposed based on SSADT data. A grey prediction method of RTVAR model is put forward to predict product lifetime. By using the suggested method, product reliability is obtained. An example is presented as a verification of the modeling technique and estimation method. A reasonable estimation of lifetime and reliability of the product is obtained by employing the present method.

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تاریخ انتشار 2013